"Diversity, Harmony, Community - Together WE can make a difference!”

Winter Weather Potential for Portland Metro January 11-18 2020

01/11/2020 - 4:00pm
01/17/2020 - 4:59pm
Etc/GMT-8
Winter Weather Potential for Portland Metro January 11-18 2020. Details here!
NCEP Temperature Probabilities Jan 11-18. Click to enlarge

BBBRRRrrrr!!
Starting this weekend, a series of systems will usher in the coldest air we've seen so far this season.

By Garret Hartung (Wilkes East resident)
Climate Science Undergrad, Oregon State University

With this cold air in place next week (Jan 11-18), any system swinging in moisture from the Pacific has the potential to bring winter precipitation to the lowest elevations. In typical Pacific Northwest fashion, this forecast is complicated, so its best to break it down into a few categories: what we do know, what is uncertain, and how can you be prepared.

What We Do Know:

  • Temperatures are expected to be well below the average high of 46°F for this time of year. The NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) is showing an 80% or greater probability of below normal temperatures in our area for next week. High temperatures are looking to be in the low 30’s starting Tuesday with lows in the mid to lower 20’s. It wouldn’t be too shocking to see temperatures dip below 20°F in this set up. There is still some uncertainty in regard to how cold it will get, there are a few models showing temperatures even lower than what was mentioned above but confidence in that is very low
  • The east wind should be howling during this period. This is where most of the cold air will come from. Depending on the exact strength and location of a system we could see gusts exceeding 40mph, which is strong but not out of the ordinary for our area. Typically, we see a few 40+mph gusts from the east each year. This could lead to some very cold wind chills, probably getting into the teens or lower for some days.
  • The upper level pattern is conductive of storms developing off the coast. For most of next week, temperatures should be cold enough in Portland to support snow at the valley floor. It’s appears fairly certain we should see some precipitation in this period.
  • What is Uncertain:

    • A few models are showing extremely cold temperatures in our area that haven’t been seen in decades. While I wouldn’t bet on that occurring, there is a small possibility that does occur. For example, the latest run of the GFS (Global Forecast System) model has lows in the single digits. While other models keep us in the 20’s/30’s.
    • The big question is how much precipitation we will get. Models have been showing anything from nothing to a 2008-like event for the Portland area. There are several factors that are leading to this uncertainty. The main thing is the track and strength of the storms that may or may not form. A stronger storm may produce more precipitation but could also bring in warm air from the south to keep us above freezing. A storm tracking too far north could do the same thing, while a storm tracking too far south may leave us cold but dry. We won’t know the exact strength and track of a storm till about 3 days out. So, any estimates of the amount of snowfall we could get should be questioned until we are with in 36 hours of the event. This was an issue last year when crazy model outputs were being shared on social media, causing some what of a panic. I will say that the models are starting to zero in on Thursday as out potential big snow day, but specific details will change in the coming days.

    How to prepare:

    • Winterize your home if you haven’t done so yet this winter. In particular shut off and cover outside faucets and make sure the pipes in your home are ready for the coldest temps of the season thus far. If you have a generator for your home, make sure its good on fuel and you know how to connect it properly. Freezing rain is not out of the question for this event, especially for areas exposed to the gorge winds.
    • Stock your car on winter survival gear. Have chains or traction tires ready if you need to travel this week. Things like some food, water, kitty litter, and other supplies you may need if your car gets stuck.
    • Have a plan. Should we have a high impact winter event, be prepared with food (for you and your pet) and medicine in your home and try not to travel. Think about things you’d need if you can’t leave the house for a couple days. It’s also good to think about potential loss of power. Keep your phone charged and have flashlights ready.
    • Be weather ready! Stay informed by paying attention to local media outlets and the National Weather Service for the latest forecasts and warnings. These men and women know the area and know how snow events play out more so than the app on your phone.
      • The bottom line is that cold weather is expected and all types of winter precipitation including snow and freezing rain could occur next week. So be prepared for impactful weather.

        It’s better to prepare for an event and it doesn’t occur than to not be prepared if it does.

Are you prepared for a winter storm? Groceries and emergency supplies you need in case of snow

Are you prepared for a winter storm? Here are the groceries and other supplies you should add to your shopping list. Info here!

During extremely cold weather or winter storms, staying warm and safe can be a challenge.

Winter storms can bring cold temperatures, strong winds, power failures, loss of communications, and icy roads.

Here's a list of groceries and emergency supplies you need in case of snow.

Items that don’t require refrigeration or heat to prepare

  • Nut butters, jams and jellies
  • Fresh fruits and vegetables
  • Dried fruits and nuts
  • Juices (particularly those that are not commonly found in the refrigerator section of the supermarket)
  • Breads, muffins, bagels, tortillas
  • Dry cereal or granola
  • Canned milk or non-dairy milk in aseptic cartons
  • Protein bars and protein shakes
  • Jarred sauces such as salsa, ketchup, or mustard.
  • Pickles or foods preserved in vinegar
  • Hard cheeses, such as cheddar, Swiss, provolone and parmesan, processed cheeses, and Edam (just make sure the cheese is well wrapped and sealed)

Other items to add to your list if you don’t have them

  • A non-electric can opener
  • Charcoal or propane for the outdoor grill
  • Pet food
  • Kitty litter
  • Paper towels, paper plates, and plastic utensils (useful if the power goes out and you can’t wash dishes)
  • Toilet paper
  • Water (1 gal per person per 3 days)
  • Other storm essentials

    • Rock salt for melting ice on sidewalks and driveway
    • An ice scraper for your car’s windshield
    • A sturdy snow shovel
    • Foam insulation covers for exterior faucets
    • First-aid kit
    • Flashlight, with batteries
    • Extra batteries, just in case

    Good to have on hand when you’re going to be cooped-up

    • Favorite baking supplies for cookies and quickbread (flour, sugar, salt, eggs, butter)
    • Cartons of chicken or vegetable broth for making soup (a good excuse to use up what’s already in your vegetable bin)
    • Canned soup
    • Comfort food (mac ‘n’ cheese, pasta, potatoes. yum)
    • Favorite snacks (popcorn, chips, etc.)
    • Apple cider
    • Coffee and tea
    • Wine and beer
    • Liquor

    Now that you're ready you can relax and enjoy a snow day!

    Source: The Oregonian/Oregonlive.com

When A Natural Emergency Strikes Will You and Your Family Be Ready?

Experts Warn Cascadia Is Overdue For A 9.0 Earthquake

When A Natural Emergency Strikes Will You and Your Family Be Ready? Here's some great tips and valuable resources to help you be prepared for a disaster. Info here!

Be informed.
Build a kit.
Make a plan.

Everyday you hear the warnings.
Have you made a kit?
Do you have a plan?

If you're like most of us - you're not ready.

If that's you, we've got some great tips and valuable resources below to help you be prepared for whenever a disaster strikes.

CONTENTS

TICK. TOCK.
Think of Oregon geology as a clock, measuring time in earthquakes. Tick: a magnitude 8 quake. (Bigger than 1989 Bay Area quake that killed 63 people.) Tock: a magnitude 9 quake. (Same as the 2011 Japan quake that killed almost 16,000 people.) On average, a major quake happens in our area every 243 years, the last one was January 26, 1700 — 316 years ago. Yes. We are overdue.

When the next Big One does happen, a 700-mile long section of the tectonic plate known as the Juan de Fuca, stretching from British Columbia to Northern California, will slide beneath the North American plate, causing the entire Northwest coast-line to sink up to 6.6 feet. This won’t be a California-style short burst of energy quake in the earth’s upper crust. The Big One will be bigger, deeper, and last longer: 3–4 minutes, with dozens of after-shocks, some very powerful, for days, months, or later.

The Cascadia Subduction Zone is 700 miles long, located 100-150 miles off shore of British Columbia, Washington, Oregon and northern California. Info here!
Cascadia Subduction Zone. Pacific Northwest. Click to Enlarge.

Hillsides will slide. Buildings will collapse. Roads will buckle. High-rises will sway. Bridges will crack. Some will fall. Pipes will snap. Within 20 minutes, the first of several 40-foot tsunami waves will wash away the Oregon Coast’s low-lying towns.

If our next “subduction zone” quake unleashes its full potential, it will be the worst natural disaster in U.S. history.

Download the Wilkes East Neighborhood Fall 2019 Newsletter here!

Download the Wilkes East Neighborhood Fall 2019 Newsletter here! Wilkes East Neighborhood, Gresham Oregon USA. Diversity, Harmony, Community- Together 'WE' can make a difference.

2019 Fall Newsletter

"Diversity, Harmony, Community -
Together 'WE' can make a difference!”


alt=
Read it now!

Fall 2019 Newsletter

Inside This Issue:

  • Albertina Kerr Workforce Housing
  • WENA Board Elections Nov 11th
  • Extreme Weather In Our Region
  • Nadaka Happenings & Changes
  • Update: A Playground For Kirk Park

Download your copy here. (includes active web links)

Newsletters are a regular publication of the Wilkes East Neighborhood Association. They are hand-delivered to over 1,500 residences and businesses in our area 3 times per year, timed to correspond with our regular meetings.

View archive   |   Policy & Ad Rates

Got a story or tip to share?
Wilkes East residents are encouraged to submit articles and tips for the newsletter. Articles should be limited to 300-500 words and may be subject to editing Include a related photo. Send by email to chair@wilkeseastna.org, or by postal mail to: 17104 NE Oregon St • Portland OR 97230.

Volunteers Needed
Newsletters are hand-delivered to Wilkes East residents and businesses by neighborhood volunteers. There are always routes that need delivery people. Routes are small and many. We can always use your help.
To volunteer contact chair@wilkeseastna.org.

Download the Wilkes East Neighborhood Summer 2019 Newsletter here!

Download the Wilkes East Neighborhood Summer 2019 Newsletter here! Wilkes East Neighborhood, Gresham Oregon USA. Diversity, Harmony, Community- Together 'WE' can make a difference.

2019 Summer Newsletter

"Diversity, Harmony, Community -
Together 'WE' can make a difference!”


alt=
Read it now!

Summer 2019 Newsletter

Inside This Issue:

  • Columbia View Park improvements
  • National Night Out, Tuesday Aug 6th
  • Back to School, Movies in the Park
  • Nadaka Happenings & Changes
  • WENA Meeting Mon, Aug 12, 6:30PM

Download your copy here. (includes active web links)

Newsletters are a regular publication of the Wilkes East Neighborhood Association. They are hand-delivered to over 1,500 residences and businesses in our area 3 times per year, timed to correspond with our regular meetings.

View archive   |   Policy & Ad Rates

Got a story or tip to share?
Wilkes East residents are encouraged to submit articles and tips for the newsletter. Articles should be limited to 300-500 words and may be subject to editing Include a related photo. Send by email to chair@wilkeseastna.org, or by postal mail to: 17104 NE Oregon St • Portland OR 97230.

Volunteers Needed
Newsletters are hand-delivered to Wilkes East residents and businesses by neighborhood volunteers. There are always routes that need delivery people. Routes are small and many. We can always use your help.
To volunteer contact chair@wilkeseastna.org.

What is the Dog Days of Summer?

Tagged:  

The “dog days of summer” occur during the hottest and muggiest part of summer

It's a dogs life, especially during summer. Learn the origin of 'dog days of summer' here!
Dog Days of Summer?  Click to enlarge

The dictionary defines “dog days” as:

1:  the period between early July and early September when the hot sultry weather of summer usually occurs in the northern hemisphere
2:  a period of stagnation or inactivity

But where does the term come from? Why do we call the hot, sultry days of summer “dog days?” Here's the answer!

In ancient times, when the night sky was free from artificial lights people in different parts of the world drew images in the sky by “connecting the dots” of stars. These star pictures are called constellations, and the constellations as we know them came from our European ancestors.

Ancient star gazer's saw images in the stars of bears (Ursa Major and Ursa Minor), twins (Gemini), a bull (Taurus), and others objects, including dogs (Canis Major and Canis Minor). Click 'Read more' for the answer!

The Tale of Two Wilkes Neighborhoods

The Tale of Two Wilkes Neighborhoods. William C Wilkes Donation Land Grant 1846, Portland Oregon. Info here!
Click to enlarge

Love, Heartbreak, and Renewal

Local history says un the summer of 1845 Payton & Anna Wilkes and their seven children left Independence Missouri in a two-yolk oxen-drawn covered wagon and headed west on the Oregon Trail for Oregon.

They arrived by late fall after crossing the Cascade Mountains during a particularly strong snow storm and settled into their new life style in Oregon City. More than 3,000 wagons arrived in Oregon that year.

In 1850 their son William Wilkes took a Donation Land Claim on Sandy Road east of Portland.

The Donation Land Claim Act (DLC) became law on September 27, 1850 as a means to promote homestead settlements in the Oregon Territory (comprising the resent-day states of Oregon, Washington, Idaho and part of Wyoming).

The Act granted 320 acres of designated areas free-of-charge to every unmarried male citizen eighteen or older, and 640 acres to every married couple arriving in the Oregon Territory before December 1, 1850. A total of 7,437 land claims were issued under the Act which expired in late 1855.

Soon after receiving his land, William gave up his claim after his wife died and headed to California to mine gold.

Rich with cash, William Wilkes returned to east Portland and purchased the Milton Frazer DLC (see photo above), which was located immediately to the east of his original claim. And that's why there are two Wilkes neighborhoods.

Wilkes, the original land claim. And, Wilkes East, the purchased land to the east of William Wilkes original claim.

William C Wilkes, east Portland pioneer 1850's. Click to enlarge
William C Wilkes
Click to enlarge
William C Wilkes, east Portland pioneer 1850's. Click to enlarge
William C Wilkes grave
Click to enlarge
Sarah A Wilkes, wife of William C Wilkes, east Portland pioneer 1850's. Click to enlarge
Sarah A Wilkes
Click to enlarge

To learn more about local history, read "Gresham, Stories of our Past". Available from the Gresham Historical Society, area book stores, and Amazon.com

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Uptick in Crime Affecting Gresham businesses along Sandy Blvd

Uptick in Crime Affecting Gresham businesses along Sandy Blvd. Gresham police can do very little as jurisdiction ends along Gresham’s northern border. Read more!

Vandalism, theft, broken windows, fights and stolen vehicles

By Greg Hartung

Gresham area businesses along a stretch of NE Sandy Blvd had recently experienced an alarming uptick in criminal activities.

From NE 162th to NE 181st, reports of vandalism, theft, breaking of glass windows and doors, fences cut, harassment of employees, fights and stolen vehicles now have businesses on high alert. Many of these activities are thought to be contributed by the increased population of campers within the Big Four Corners wetlands area.

Big Four Corners is an area of about 165 acres of fragile wetlands located north of Gresham that is owned and managed by Portland Parks and Recreation. Some sources say as many as 250 people are currently camping in this area. It is an important habitat for deer, coyote, river otter as well as a variety of birds and amphibians.

Gresham police can do very little as jurisdiction ends along Gresham’s northern border. The Union Pacific rail line divides Gresham from East Portland and the Big Four Corners wetlands. It is just beyond the reach of Gresham Police where many of these campers reside, however they are still within yards of the businesses on the south side of the border. While Union Pacific does conduct its own law enforcement patrols, they are limited to about 50 feet on each side of the tracks. Portland Parks and Recreation has park rangers who patrol the area.

On April 5th, 2019, a meeting at Gresham City Hall was conducted by the City of Gresham’s Economic Development, Gresham Police and Gresham’s Homeless Services departments and was well attended by many of those businesses affected by these recent activities. Representatives from SEKO Logistics, Cedar Source, Royal Bearing, Northwest Handling, Teeny Foods, Portland Bakery as well as Wilkes East and North Gresham neighborhood associations expressed very similar concerns to the City of Gresham. The crime has been costly to these businesses. Some businesses have gone to great expense to shore up security, such as replacing windows with reinforced glass, fences and hiring security patrol at night.

City of Gresham will be working more closely with the City of Portland and other agencies, but it is feared to get worse before it gets better. Word of mouth and sweeps of campers from other areas are bringing more campers to the Big Four Corners wetlands.

Download the Wilkes East Neighborhood Spring 2019 Newsletter here!

Download the Wilkes East Neighborhood Spring 2019 Newsletter here! Wilkes East Neighborhood, Gresham Oregon USA. Diversity, Harmony, Community- Together 'WE' can make a difference.

2019 Spring Newsletter

"Diversity, Harmony, Community -
Together 'WE' can make a difference!”


Read it now!

Inside This Issue:

 

  • Rockwood Rising, A New Urban Hub
  • Migration Brewing Opens New Pub
  • Earth Day Recycling Event, April 20
  • Nadaka Happenings & Changes
  • WENA Spring Meeting March 11, 7PM

Download your copy here. (includes active web links)

Newsletters are a regular publication of the Wilkes East Neighborhood Association. They are hand-delivered to over 1,500 residences and businesses in our area 3 times per year, timed to correspond with our regular meetings.

View archive   |   Policy & Ad Rates

Got a story or tip to share?
Wilkes East residents are encouraged to submit articles and tips for the newsletter. Articles should be limited to 300-350 words and may be subject to editing. Send by email to info@wilkeseastna.org, or by postal mail to: PO Box 536 • Fairview, OR 97024.

Volunteers Needed
Newsletters are hand-delivered to Wilkes East residents and businesses by neighborhood volunteers. There are always routes that need delivery people. Routes are small and many. We can always use your help.
To volunteer contact info@wilkeseastna.org.

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